Jared GoffFITTED MODEL

QB · DET · NFL

16.8

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

13%

Boom (1.5x)

19%

Bust (0.6x)

16.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

passing yards · completions · pass attempts · rushing yards · carries

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Pass Yds	Rush Yds
2025 wk 18	@ CHI	15.2	331	0
2025 wk 17	@ MIN	2.1	197	2
2025 wk 16	vs PIT	26.5	364	-1
2025 wk 15	@ LAR	25.5	338	0
2025 wk 14	vs DAL	16.2	309	-2
2025 wk 13	vs GB	20.6	256	24
2025 wk 12	vs NYG	17.2	279	0
2025 wk 11	@ PHI	12.1	255	-1
2025 wk 10	@ WAS	24.8	320	0
2025 wk 9	vs MIN	19.4	284	0
2025 wk 7	vs TB	10.3	241	7
2025 wk 6	@ KC	16.8	203	7
2025 wk 5	@ CIN	20.1	258	-2
2025 wk 4	vs CLE	12.7	168	0
2025 wk 3	@ BAL	12.7	202	6

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts