DeVonta SmithFITTED MODEL

WR · PHI · NFL

13.9

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

19%

Boom (1.5x)

29%

Bust (0.6x)

12.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs WAS	8.2	52	3
2025 wk 17	@ BUF	4.5	25	2
2025 wk 16	@ WAS	16.2	42	6
2025 wk 15	vs LV	7.0	50	2
2025 wk 14	@ LAC	7.7	37	4
2025 wk 13	vs CHI	9.8	48	5
2025 wk 12	@ DAL	14.9	89	6
2025 wk 11	vs DET	1.8	8	1
2025 wk 10	@ GB	16.9	69	4
2025 wk 8	vs NYG	14.4	84	6
2025 wk 7	@ MIN	33.3	183	9
2025 wk 6	@ NYG	8.9	49	4
2025 wk 5	vs DEN	19.4	114	8
2025 wk 4	@ TB	4.9	29	2
2025 wk 3	vs LAR	20.0	60	8

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts