Noah GrayFITTED MODEL

TE · KC · NFL

3.6

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

24%

Boom (1.5x)

46%

Bust (0.6x)

2.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	@ LV	6.0	0	30	3
2025 wk 17	vs DEN	1.2	0	2	1
2025 wk 16	@ TEN	0.0	0	0	0
2025 wk 14	vs HOU	2.4	0	14	1
2025 wk 12	vs IND	5.5	0	25	3
2025 wk 11	@ DEN	2.9	0	9	2
2025 wk 9	@ BUF	0.0	0	0	0
2025 wk 8	vs WAS	4.3	0	23	2
2025 wk 7	vs LV	3.8	0	28	1
2025 wk 6	vs DET	4.5	0	25	2
2025 wk 4	vs BAL	1.1	0	1	1
2025 wk 3	@ NYG	4.7	0	17	3
2025 wk 2	vs PHI	1.1	0	1	1
2025 wk 1	@ LAC	1.3	0	3	1
2024 wk 18	@ DEN	0.7	-4	1	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts