Mike GesickiFITTED MODEL

TE · CIN · NFL

6.3

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

42%

Bust (0.6x)

7.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs CLE	3.3	13	2
2025 wk 17	vs ARI	6.7	47	2
2025 wk 16	@ MIA	12.5	35	3
2025 wk 15	vs BAL	2.1	11	1
2025 wk 14	@ BUF	20.6	86	6
2025 wk 13	@ BAL	3.9	19	2
2025 wk 12	vs NE	7.5	35	4
2025 wk 5	vs DET	3.5	15	2
2025 wk 4	@ DEN	1.8	8	1
2025 wk 3	@ MIN	1.6	6	1
2025 wk 2	vs JAX	4.8	18	3
2025 wk 1	@ CLE	2.4	14	1
2024 wk 18	@ PIT	14.8	68	8
2024 wk 17	vs DEN	18.6	86	10
2024 wk 16	vs CLE	3.4	14	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts