Hayden HurstFITTED MODEL

TE · · NFL

5.9

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

26%

Boom (1.5x)

43%

Bust (0.6x)

2.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2024 wk 16	vs DEN	1.8	8	1
2024 wk 10	vs TEN	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 9	@ CLE	1.6	6	1
2024 wk 4	vs KC	1.6	6	1
2024 wk 3	@ PIT	3.5	15	2
2024 wk 2	@ CAR	1.5	5	1
2024 wk 1	vs LV	5.3	33	2
2023 wk 10	@ CHI	3.4	14	2
2023 wk 9	vs IND	7.4	54	2
2023 wk 8	vs HOU	0.0	0	0
2023 wk 6	@ MIA	2.6	16	1
2023 wk 5	@ DET	5.1	21	3
2023 wk 4	vs MIN	1.7	7	1
2023 wk 3	@ SEA	2.1	11	1
2023 wk 2	vs NO	5.0	20	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts