Mecole HardmanFITTED MODEL

WR · BUF · NFL

1.3

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

27%

Boom (1.5x)

62%

Bust (0.6x)

3.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 16	@ CLE	0.0	0	0	0
2025 wk 11	vs TB	0.0	0	0	0
2024 wk 13	vs LV	0.0	0	0	0
2024 wk 12	@ CAR	1.5	15	0	0
2024 wk 11	@ BUF	4.1	9	12	2
2024 wk 10	vs DEN	1.3	0	3	1
2024 wk 9	vs TB	4.7	0	17	3
2024 wk 8	@ LV	1.8	0	8	1
2024 wk 7	@ SF	12.5	38	17	1
2024 wk 5	vs NO	7.3	0	33	4
2024 wk 4	@ LAC	0.0	0	0	0
2024 wk 3	@ ATL	0.0	0	0	0
2024 wk 2	vs CIN	0.0	0	0	0
2024 wk 1	vs BAL	0.0	0	0	0
2023 wk 18	@ LAC	13.7	0	77	6

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts