Alec PierceFITTED MODEL

WR · IND · NFL

11.9

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

20%

Boom (1.5x)

30%

Bust (0.6x)

12.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	@ HOU	29.2	132	4
2025 wk 17	vs JAX	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 16	vs SF	24.6	86	4
2025 wk 15	@ SEA	2.6	16	1
2025 wk 14	@ JAX	13.0	80	5
2025 wk 13	vs HOU	17.8	78	4
2025 wk 12	@ KC	3.6	26	1
2025 wk 10	vs ATL	18.4	84	4
2025 wk 9	@ PIT	17.5	115	6
2025 wk 8	vs TEN	8.9	69	2
2025 wk 7	@ LAC	14.8	98	5
2025 wk 6	vs ARI	6.8	48	2
2025 wk 3	@ TEN	10.7	67	4
2025 wk 2	vs DEN	10.8	68	4
2025 wk 1	vs MIA	4.6	36	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts