Mike WilliamsFITTED MODEL

WR · · NFL

7.3

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

24%

Boom (1.5x)

41%

Bust (0.6x)

5.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2024 wk 18	vs CIN	3.5	25	1
2024 wk 17	vs KC	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 16	@ BAL	5.4	24	3
2024 wk 15	@ PHI	2.5	15	1
2024 wk 14	vs CLE	6.6	36	3
2024 wk 10	@ WAS	10.2	32	1
2024 wk 9	vs HOU	1.6	6	1
2024 wk 8	@ NE	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 7	@ PIT	2.5	15	1
2024 wk 6	vs BUF	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 5	@ MIN	4.5	25	2
2024 wk 4	vs DEN	10.7	67	4
2024 wk 3	vs NE	6.4	34	3
2024 wk 2	@ TEN	2.9	19	1
2023 wk 3	@ MIN	25.1	121	7

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts