Jack StollFITTED MODEL

TE · CLE · NFL

3.3

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

48%

Bust (0.6x)

1.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 16	vs NYJ	1.4	4	1
2025 wk 15	vs CAR	1.7	7	1
2025 wk 14	@ TB	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 12	vs ATL	1.7	7	1
2025 wk 8	vs TB	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 7	@ CHI	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 4	@ BUF	1.7	7	1
2025 wk 3	@ SEA	10.1	21	2
2025 wk 1	vs ARI	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 9	vs JAX	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 8	@ CIN	1.6	6	1
2024 wk 7	@ NYG	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 4	@ TB	1.4	4	1
2024 wk 3	@ NO	0.0	0	0
2023 wk 18	@ NYG	2.1	11	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts