D'Ernest JohnsonFITTED MODEL

RB · · NFL

0.9

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

66%

Bust (0.6x)

2.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · carries · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs MIA	1.3	13	0	0
2025 wk 17	@ NYJ	0.5	5	0	0
2025 wk 11	vs NYJ	0.6	6	0	0
2025 wk 10	@ TB	0.1	1	0	0
2025 wk 7	vs GB	0.0	0	0	0
2024 wk 18	@ IND	3.6	26	0	1
2024 wk 17	vs TEN	3.1	0	11	2
2024 wk 16	@ LV	1.8	0	8	1
2024 wk 11	@ DET	0.3	3	0	0
2024 wk 9	@ PHI	0.6	6	0	0
2024 wk 8	vs GB	3.3	3	20	1
2024 wk 7	vs NE	10.0	38	32	3
2024 wk 6	@ CHI	6.4	28	16	2
2024 wk 5	vs IND	3.0	1	9	2
2024 wk 4	@ HOU	0.0	0	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts