Derrick HenryFITTED MODEL

RB · BAL · NFL

17.2

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

15%

Boom (1.5x)

22%

Bust (0.6x)

16.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · carries · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	@ PIT	12.6	126	0	0
2025 wk 17	@ GB	45.6	216	0	0
2025 wk 16	vs NE	22.8	128	0	0
2025 wk 15	@ CIN	10.0	100	0	0
2025 wk 14	vs PIT	11.2	94	8	1
2025 wk 13	vs CIN	17.4	60	44	1
2025 wk 12	vs NYJ	22.8	64	24	2
2025 wk 11	@ CLE	20.2	103	19	2
2025 wk 10	@ MIN	11.4	75	9	3
2025 wk 9	@ MIA	13.1	119	2	1
2025 wk 8	vs CHI	19.1	71	0	0
2025 wk 6	vs LAR	14.0	122	8	1
2025 wk 5	vs HOU	9.3	33	0	0
2025 wk 4	@ KC	7.8	42	16	2
2025 wk 3	vs DET	10.7	50	7	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts