Hunter LongFITTED MODEL

TE · JAX · NFL

1.6

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

24%

Boom (1.5x)

54%

Bust (0.6x)

3.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 9	@ LV	1.6	6	1
2025 wk 7	vs LAR	3.6	16	2
2025 wk 6	vs SEA	3.9	19	2
2025 wk 5	vs KC	1.3	3	1
2025 wk 4	@ SF	11.3	23	3
2025 wk 3	vs HOU	3.2	12	2
2025 wk 1	vs CAR	7.6	6	1
2024 wk 17	vs ARI	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 16	@ NYJ	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 15	@ SF	3.7	17	2
2024 wk 14	vs BUF	6.0	0	0
2024 wk 13	@ NO	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 9	@ SEA	1.4	4	1
2024 wk 8	vs MIN	2.8	18	1
2024 wk 7	vs LV	1.5	5	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts