Julius ChestnutFITTED MODEL

RB · TEN · NFL

0.7

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

66%

Bust (0.6x)

0.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · carries · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds
2025 wk 18	@ JAX	0.0	0
2025 wk 17	vs NO	0.0	0
2025 wk 16	vs KC	0.1	1
2025 wk 15	@ SF	0.0	0
2025 wk 14	@ CLE	0.0	0
2025 wk 13	vs JAX	0.0	0
2025 wk 12	vs SEA	0.3	3
2025 wk 11	vs HOU	0.0	0
2025 wk 9	vs LAC	0.0	0
2025 wk 8	@ IND	0.5	5
2025 wk 7	vs NE	0.0	0
2025 wk 6	@ LV	0.0	0
2025 wk 5	@ ARI	0.3	3
2025 wk 4	@ HOU	0.0	0
2025 wk 3	vs IND	2.6	26

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts