Mike EvansFITTED MODEL

WR · SF · NFL

11.9

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

20%

Boom (1.5x)

30%

Bust (0.6x)

15.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs CAR	5.4	34	2
2025 wk 17	@ MIA	12.1	31	3
2025 wk 16	@ CAR	14.1	31	5
2025 wk 15	vs ATL	19.2	132	6
2025 wk 7	@ DET	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 3	vs NYJ	13.3	33	4
2025 wk 2	@ HOU	10.6	56	5
2025 wk 1	@ ATL	10.1	51	5
2024 wk 18	vs NO	17.9	89	9
2024 wk 17	vs CAR	29.7	97	8
2024 wk 16	@ DAL	11.9	69	5
2024 wk 15	@ LAC	36.9	159	9
2024 wk 14	vs LV	10.9	69	4
2024 wk 13	@ CAR	25.8	118	8
2024 wk 12	@ NYG	11.8	68	5

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts