Woody MarksFITTED MODEL

RB · HOU · NFL

7.1

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

42%

Bust (0.6x)

9.7

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · carries · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs IND	6.8	48	0	2
2025 wk 17	@ LAC	8.5	71	4	1
2025 wk 15	vs ARI	4.8	30	8	1
2025 wk 14	@ KC	15.6	68	8	2
2025 wk 13	@ IND	7.7	64	3	1
2025 wk 12	vs BUF	7.9	74	-5	1
2025 wk 11	@ TEN	6.1	44	7	1
2025 wk 10	vs JAX	16.1	63	18	2
2025 wk 9	vs DEN	2.7	27	0	0
2025 wk 8	vs SF	15.1	62	49	4
2025 wk 7	@ SEA	12.5	15	20	3
2025 wk 5	@ BAL	2.4	24	0	0
2025 wk 4	vs TEN	27.9	69	50	4
2025 wk 3	@ JAX	4.6	27	9	1
2025 wk 2	vs TB	6.1	14	37	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts