Daniel BellingerFITTED MODEL

TE · TEN · NFL

1.5

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

55%

Bust (0.6x)

4.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs DAL	11.8	38	2
2025 wk 17	@ LV	3.1	11	2
2025 wk 15	vs WAS	6.5	35	3
2025 wk 12	@ DET	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 11	vs GB	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 10	@ CHI	1.8	8	1
2025 wk 8	@ PHI	3.1	21	1
2025 wk 7	@ DEN	17.8	88	3
2025 wk 5	@ NO	9.2	52	4
2025 wk 4	vs LAC	2.3	13	1
2025 wk 3	vs KC	1.6	6	1
2025 wk 2	@ DAL	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 1	@ WAS	2.4	14	1
2024 wk 18	@ PHI	2.9	9	2
2024 wk 17	vs IND	0.0	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts