Josh OliverFITTED MODEL

TE · MIN · NFL

2.3

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

53%

Bust (0.6x)

3.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs GB	4.9	29	2
2025 wk 17	vs DET	1.8	8	1
2025 wk 16	@ NYG	3.9	19	2
2025 wk 15	@ DAL	2.8	18	1
2025 wk 14	vs WAS	16.4	24	2
2025 wk 12	@ GB	1.4	4	1
2025 wk 11	vs CHI	0.7	-3	1
2025 wk 7	vs PHI	1.9	9	1
2025 wk 5	@ CLE	11.5	35	2
2025 wk 4	@ PIT	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 3	vs CIN	8.2	12	1
2025 wk 1	@ CHI	1.5	5	1
2024 wk 18	@ DET	3.6	16	2
2024 wk 16	@ SEA	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 15	vs CHI	0.0	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts