Tyler HigbeeFITTED MODEL

TE · LAR · NFL

2.1

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

21%

Boom (1.5x)

50%

Bust (0.6x)

7.7

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs ARI	20.1	91	5
2025 wk 11	vs SEA	3.3	23	1
2025 wk 10	@ SF	6.3	33	3
2025 wk 9	vs NO	10.3	13	3
2025 wk 7	@ JAX	4.9	19	3
2025 wk 6	@ BAL	14.0	40	4
2025 wk 4	vs IND	4.5	25	2
2025 wk 3	@ PHI	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 2	@ TEN	7.7	37	4
2025 wk 1	vs HOU	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 18	vs SEA	15.6	46	5
2024 wk 17	vs ARI	2.9	9	2
2024 wk 16	@ NYJ	8.1	11	1
2023 wk 17	@ NYG	12.2	62	6
2023 wk 16	vs NO	6.0	30	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts