Christian WatsonFITTED MODEL

WR · GB · NFL

11.4

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

21%

Boom (1.5x)

31%

Bust (0.6x)

11.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 17	vs BAL	22.3	0	113	5
2025 wk 16	@ CHI	3.7	0	17	2
2025 wk 15	@ DEN	5.9	0	29	3
2025 wk 14	vs CHI	24.9	0	89	4
2025 wk 13	@ DET	18.3	3	80	4
2025 wk 12	vs MIN	9.9	0	49	5
2025 wk 11	@ NYG	20.6	0	46	4
2025 wk 10	vs PHI	6.5	0	45	2
2025 wk 9	vs CAR	7.8	0	58	2
2025 wk 8	@ PIT	12.5	0	85	4
2024 wk 18	vs CHI	0.0	0	0	0
2024 wk 16	vs NO	2.3	23	0	0
2024 wk 15	@ SEA	8.6	0	56	3
2024 wk 14	@ DET	13.4	0	114	4
2024 wk 13	vs MIA	8.7	0	67	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts