Michael CarterFITTED MODEL

RB · TEN · NFL

8.8

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

36%

Bust (0.6x)

8.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · carries · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	@ LAR	6.9	18	21	3
2025 wk 17	@ CIN	6.3	29	14	2
2025 wk 16	vs ATL	6.5	65	0	0
2025 wk 15	@ HOU	13.4	56	38	4
2025 wk 14	vs LAR	5.1	13	18	2
2025 wk 13	@ TB	11.4	17	47	5
2025 wk 12	vs JAX	8.8	28	30	3
2025 wk 11	vs SF	7.8	6	22	5
2025 wk 10	@ SEA	0.4	4	0	0
2025 wk 7	vs GB	5.6	11	25	2
2025 wk 6	@ IND	8.4	34	30	2
2025 wk 5	vs TEN	18.3	51	22	5
2025 wk 4	vs SEA	0.1	1	0	0
2024 wk 18	vs SF	15.9	43	16	4
2024 wk 17	@ LAR	10.1	70	11	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts