Baker MayfieldFITTED MODEL

QB · TB · NFL

15.3

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

16%

Boom (1.5x)

19%

Bust (0.6x)

15.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

passing yards · completions · pass attempts · rushing yards · carries

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Pass Yds	Rush Yds
2025 wk 18	vs CAR	13.2	203	31
2025 wk 17	@ MIA	17.4	346	16
2025 wk 16	@ CAR	12.7	145	49
2025 wk 15	vs ATL	19.2	277	1
2025 wk 14	vs NO	11.1	122	42
2025 wk 13	vs ARI	14.5	194	27
2025 wk 12	@ LAR	3.5	41	19
2025 wk 11	@ BUF	16.8	173	39
2025 wk 10	vs NE	22.9	273	0
2025 wk 8	@ NO	4.1	152	0
2025 wk 7	@ DET	11.1	228	0
2025 wk 6	vs SF	19.6	256	14
2025 wk 5	@ SEA	26.7	379	15
2025 wk 4	vs PHI	18.9	289	13
2025 wk 3	vs NYJ	17.7	233	44

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts