Brenton StrangeFITTED MODEL

TE · JAX · NFL

8.0

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

20%

Boom (1.5x)

36%

Bust (0.6x)

8.7

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs TEN	17.2	52	6
2025 wk 17	@ IND	8.4	54	3
2025 wk 16	@ DEN	14.9	39	5
2025 wk 15	vs NYJ	3.6	26	1
2025 wk 14	vs IND	5.7	27	3
2025 wk 13	@ TEN	13.5	45	3
2025 wk 12	@ ARI	14.3	93	5
2025 wk 5	vs KC	3.2	22	1
2025 wk 4	@ SF	10.5	45	6
2025 wk 3	vs HOU	12.1	61	6
2025 wk 2	@ CIN	4.7	17	3
2025 wk 1	vs CAR	9.9	59	4
2024 wk 18	@ IND	10.0	60	4
2024 wk 17	vs TEN	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 16	@ LV	2.2	22	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts