Dawson KnoxFITTED MODEL

TE · BUF · NFL

4.0

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

45%

Bust (0.6x)

6.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs NYJ	10.4	24	2
2025 wk 17	vs PHI	8.0	30	5
2025 wk 16	@ CLE	2.0	10	1
2025 wk 15	@ NE	18.7	37	3
2025 wk 14	vs CIN	17.3	93	6
2025 wk 13	@ PIT	5.8	28	3
2025 wk 12	@ HOU	4.7	17	3
2025 wk 11	vs TB	3.3	23	1
2025 wk 10	@ MIA	6.7	37	3
2025 wk 9	vs KC	4.0	30	1
2025 wk 8	@ CAR	2.5	15	1
2025 wk 6	@ ATL	8.9	19	1
2025 wk 5	vs NE	3.5	15	2
2025 wk 4	vs NO	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 2	@ NYJ	3.9	19	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts