Chris GodwinFITTED MODEL

WR · TB · NFL

9.9

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

35%

Bust (0.6x)

13.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs CAR	1.8	0	8	1
2025 wk 17	@ MIA	23.8	0	108	7
2025 wk 16	@ CAR	8.0	0	30	5
2025 wk 15	vs ATL	14.0	0	20	4
2025 wk 14	vs NO	10.5	0	55	5
2025 wk 13	vs ARI	10.8	0	78	3
2025 wk 12	@ LAR	2.9	0	9	2
2025 wk 5	@ SEA	5.6	0	26	3
2025 wk 4	vs PHI	5.6	0	26	3
2024 wk 7	vs BAL	13.5	0	65	7
2024 wk 6	@ NO	35.5	0	125	11
2024 wk 5	@ ATL	11.6	2	64	5
2024 wk 4	vs PHI	12.9	0	69	6
2024 wk 3	vs DEN	17.3	0	53	6
2024 wk 2	@ DET	24.7	0	117	7

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts