John FitzPatrickFITTED MODEL

TE · · NFL

2.8

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

26%

Boom (1.5x)

50%

Bust (0.6x)

1.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 16	@ CHI	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 15	@ DEN	4.8	18	3
2025 wk 14	vs CHI	3.4	14	2
2025 wk 13	@ DET	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 12	vs MIN	2.1	11	1
2025 wk 11	@ NYG	1.5	5	1
2025 wk 8	@ PIT	1.4	4	1
2025 wk 7	@ ARI	1.6	6	1
2025 wk 3	@ CLE	9.2	12	2
2025 wk 2	vs WAS	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 1	vs DET	1.2	2	1
2024 wk 12	vs SF	1.2	2	1
2023 wk 18	@ NO	2.2	12	1
2023 wk 8	@ TEN	0.0	0	0
2023 wk 3	@ DET	0.0	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts