Tua TagovailoaFITTED MODEL

QB · ATL · NFL

13.6

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

19%

Boom (1.5x)

22%

Bust (0.6x)

11.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

passing yards · completions · pass attempts · rushing yards · carries

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Pass Yds	Rush Yds
2025 wk 15	@ PIT	16.2	253	1
2025 wk 14	@ NYJ	9.1	127	0
2025 wk 13	vs NO	4.7	157	4
2025 wk 11	vs WAS	6.8	171	0
2025 wk 10	vs BUF	10.8	173	-1
2025 wk 9	vs BAL	8.5	261	1
2025 wk 8	@ ATL	24.2	205	0
2025 wk 7	@ CLE	-1.4	100	6
2025 wk 6	vs LAC	6.6	205	4
2025 wk 5	@ CAR	22.7	256	5
2025 wk 4	vs NYJ	15.7	177	6
2025 wk 3	@ BUF	12.8	146	10
2025 wk 2	vs NE	18.6	315	0
2025 wk 1	@ IND	5.3	114	7
2024 wk 16	vs SF	12.5	215	-1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts