Daniel JonesFITTED MODEL

QB · IND · NFL

15.6

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

16%

Boom (1.5x)

19%

Bust (0.6x)

17.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

passing yards · completions · pass attempts · rushing yards · carries

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Pass Yds	Rush Yds
2025 wk 14	@ JAX	0.8	60	4
2025 wk 13	vs HOU	16.1	201	1
2025 wk 12	@ KC	16.8	181	16
2025 wk 10	vs ATL	15.5	255	53
2025 wk 9	@ PIT	14.1	342	4
2025 wk 8	vs TEN	23.2	272	3
2025 wk 7	@ LAC	22.2	288	7
2025 wk 6	vs ARI	22.5	212	20
2025 wk 5	vs LV	16.7	212	2
2025 wk 4	@ LAR	10.4	262	-1
2025 wk 3	@ TEN	15.8	228	27
2025 wk 2	vs DEN	22.8	316	2
2025 wk 1	vs MIA	29.5	272	26
2024 wk 10	@ CAR	12.2	190	26
2024 wk 9	vs WAS	24.4	174	54

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts