Colby ParkinsonFITTED MODEL

TE · LAR · NFL

3.6

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

24%

Boom (1.5x)

46%

Bust (0.6x)

8.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs ARI	19.6	36	4
2025 wk 17	@ ATL	11.3	53	6
2025 wk 16	@ SEA	4.1	21	2
2025 wk 15	vs DET	24.5	75	5
2025 wk 14	@ ARI	12.2	32	3
2025 wk 13	@ CAR	6.7	27	4
2025 wk 12	vs TB	14.1	41	4
2025 wk 11	vs SEA	9.4	14	2
2025 wk 10	@ SF	14.1	41	4
2025 wk 9	vs NO	3.0	10	2
2025 wk 7	@ JAX	7.7	47	3
2025 wk 5	vs SF	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 4	vs IND	3.7	17	2
2025 wk 1	vs HOU	-0.6	-6	2
2024 wk 18	vs SEA	1.6	6	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts