AJ DillonFITTED MODEL

RB · CAR · NFL

4.1

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

50%

Bust (0.6x)

5.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · carries · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs WAS	1.3	0	3	1
2025 wk 6	@ NYG	2.0	2	18	2
2025 wk 5	vs DEN	1.2	12	0	0
2025 wk 4	@ TB	1.7	17	0	0
2025 wk 2	@ KC	1.9	19	0	0
2025 wk 1	vs DAL	1.0	10	0	0
2023 wk 17	@ MIN	2.7	27	0	0
2023 wk 16	@ CAR	7.2	12	0	0
2023 wk 14	@ NYG	9.8	53	25	2
2023 wk 13	vs KC	9.7	73	14	1
2023 wk 12	@ DET	11.1	43	38	3
2023 wk 11	vs LAC	10.1	29	32	4
2023 wk 10	@ PIT	9.1	70	11	1
2023 wk 9	vs LAR	5.3	40	3	1
2023 wk 8	vs MIN	10.2	11	41	5

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts