Ray DavisFITTED MODEL

RB · BUF · NFL

2.2

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

60%

Bust (0.6x)

4.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · carries · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs NYJ	25.4	151	23	2
2025 wk 17	vs PHI	2.6	4	12	1
2025 wk 16	@ CLE	5.4	14	20	2
2025 wk 15	@ NE	2.3	0	13	1
2025 wk 14	vs CIN	0.0	0	0	0
2025 wk 13	@ PIT	6.2	62	0	0
2025 wk 12	@ HOU	6.0	0	0	0
2025 wk 11	vs TB	0.0	0	0	0
2025 wk 10	@ MIA	0.8	-2	0	1
2025 wk 9	vs KC	0.0	0	0	0
2025 wk 8	@ CAR	1.6	16	0	0
2025 wk 6	@ ATL	9.9	0	19	2
2025 wk 5	vs NE	0.1	1	0	0
2025 wk 4	vs NO	0.3	3	0	0
2025 wk 3	vs MIA	0.0	0	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts