Justin WatsonFITTED MODEL

WR · HOU · NFL

0.5

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

30%

Boom (1.5x)

65%

Bust (0.6x)

3.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs IND	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 2	vs TB	1.3	3	1
2025 wk 1	@ LAR	4.7	27	2
2024 wk 18	@ DEN	1.5	5	1
2024 wk 17	@ PIT	14.0	60	2
2024 wk 16	vs HOU	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 15	@ CLE	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 13	vs LV	7.6	6	1
2024 wk 12	@ CAR	2.5	15	1
2024 wk 11	@ BUF	4.6	26	2
2024 wk 10	vs DEN	2.6	6	2
2024 wk 9	vs TB	7.3	43	3
2024 wk 8	@ LV	6.3	33	3
2024 wk 7	@ SF	1.8	8	1
2024 wk 4	@ LAC	4.7	27	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts