Dalton SchultzFITTED MODEL

TE · HOU · NFL

7.8

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

21%

Boom (1.5x)

37%

Bust (0.6x)

11.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs IND	11.3	73	4
2025 wk 17	@ LAC	4.9	19	3
2025 wk 16	vs LV	14.5	35	5
2025 wk 15	vs ARI	21.6	76	8
2025 wk 14	@ KC	5.2	22	3
2025 wk 13	@ IND	12.5	55	7
2025 wk 12	vs BUF	1.8	8	1
2025 wk 11	@ TEN	11.1	51	6
2025 wk 10	vs JAX	18.3	53	7
2025 wk 9	vs DEN	13.7	77	6
2025 wk 8	vs SF	4.4	24	2
2025 wk 7	@ SEA	18.8	98	9
2025 wk 5	@ BAL	11.0	60	5
2025 wk 4	vs TEN	8.0	30	5
2025 wk 3	@ JAX	8.9	39	5

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts