Deuce VaughnFITTED MODEL

RB · · NFL

1.2

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

27%

Boom (1.5x)

65%

Bust (0.6x)

2.4

Avg (last 11)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · carries · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2024 wk 18	vs WAS	3.7	37	0	0
2024 wk 11	vs HOU	2.7	13	4	1
2024 wk 3	vs BAL	2.3	5	8	1
2024 wk 2	vs NO	2.7	11	6	1
2024 wk 1	@ CLE	0.4	4	0	0
2023 wk 17	vs DET	2.2	2	10	1
2023 wk 10	vs NYG	1.9	-2	11	1
2023 wk 5	@ SF	1.8	7	1	1
2023 wk 4	vs NE	2.1	9	2	1
2023 wk 2	vs NYJ	6.2	16	16	3
2023 wk 1	@ NYG	0.8	8	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts