Tyson BagentFITTED MODEL

QB · CHI · NFL

0.6

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

41%

Boom (1.5x)

57%

Bust (0.6x)

5.1

Avg (last 11)

Stat forecasts

passing yards · completions · pass attempts · rushing yards · carries

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Pass Yds	Rush Yds
2025 wk 9	@ CIN	0.8	20	0
2025 wk 2	@ DET	1.8	27	7
2024 wk 15	@ MIN	0.2	5	0
2024 wk 14	@ SF	0.2	6	0
2024 wk 6	vs JAX	-0.3	0	-3
2024 wk 5	vs CAR	-0.4	0	-4
2023 wk 10	vs CAR	7.7	162	12
2023 wk 9	@ NO	15.8	220	70
2023 wk 8	@ LAC	11.2	232	-1
2023 wk 7	vs LV	12.9	162	24
2023 wk 6	vs MIN	5.7	83	4

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts