Chig OkonkwoFITTED MODEL

TE · WAS · NFL

7.4

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

22%

Boom (1.5x)

38%

Bust (0.6x)

7.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	@ JAX	2.2	2	2
2025 wk 17	vs NO	14.5	55	3
2025 wk 16	vs KC	16.4	44	6
2025 wk 15	@ SF	7.3	33	4
2025 wk 14	@ CLE	4.0	20	2
2025 wk 13	vs JAX	6.9	29	4
2025 wk 12	vs SEA	7.0	40	3
2025 wk 11	vs HOU	8.6	56	3
2025 wk 9	vs LAC	3.0	10	2
2025 wk 8	@ IND	9.3	53	4
2025 wk 7	vs NE	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 6	@ LV	10.6	46	6
2025 wk 5	@ ARI	8.8	48	4
2025 wk 4	@ HOU	1.4	4	1
2025 wk 3	vs IND	11.6	66	5

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts