Nate AdkinsFITTED MODEL

TE · DEN · NFL

1.1

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

27%

Boom (1.5x)

59%

Bust (0.6x)

3.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 16	vs JAX	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 8	vs DAL	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 7	vs NYG	4.0	20	2
2025 wk 6	@ NYJ	10.3	23	2
2025 wk 5	@ PHI	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 4	vs CIN	2.5	5	2
2024 wk 18	vs KC	5.5	25	3
2024 wk 17	@ CIN	1.7	7	1
2024 wk 16	@ LAC	3.8	18	2
2024 wk 15	vs IND	8.5	15	1
2024 wk 13	vs CLE	2.6	16	1
2024 wk 12	@ LV	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 11	vs ATL	8.2	12	1
2024 wk 9	@ BAL	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 8	vs CAR	7.3	3	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts