Greg DortchFITTED MODEL

WR · DET · NFL

1.0

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

63%

Bust (0.6x)

7.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 13	@ TB	3.4	0	14	2
2025 wk 12	vs JAX	16.8	-5	53	6
2025 wk 11	vs SF	18.6	0	66	6
2025 wk 10	@ SEA	6.2	2	0	0
2025 wk 9	@ DAL	0.9	9	0	0
2025 wk 7	vs GB	2.5	0	5	2
2025 wk 6	@ IND	9.9	0	9	3
2025 wk 5	vs TEN	3.2	0	12	2
2025 wk 4	vs SEA	7.9	4	35	4
2025 wk 3	@ SF	2.8	5	3	2
2025 wk 2	vs CAR	2.1	0	11	1
2025 wk 1	@ NO	0.8	0	-2	1
2024 wk 18	vs SF	21.4	7	47	4
2024 wk 17	@ LAR	4.8	0	18	3
2024 wk 16	@ CAR	3.7	8	19	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts