Luke SchoonmakerFITTED MODEL

TE · DAL · NFL

1.6

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

24%

Boom (1.5x)

54%

Bust (0.6x)

2.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	@ NYG	2.2	12	1
2025 wk 17	@ WAS	3.5	15	2
2025 wk 15	vs MIN	3.9	29	1
2025 wk 14	@ DET	2.2	12	1
2025 wk 13	vs KC	1.1	1	1
2025 wk 12	vs PHI	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 9	vs ARI	2.4	14	1
2025 wk 8	@ DEN	4.5	25	2
2025 wk 6	@ CAR	1.8	8	1
2025 wk 5	@ NYJ	1.3	3	1
2025 wk 4	vs GB	2.8	8	2
2025 wk 3	@ CHI	1.5	5	1
2025 wk 2	vs NYG	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 1	@ PHI	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 18	vs WAS	3.6	16	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts