Caleb WilliamsFITTED MODEL

QB · CHI · NFL

16.6

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

13%

Boom (1.5x)

20%

Bust (0.6x)

18.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

passing yards · completions · pass attempts · rushing yards · carries

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Pass Yds	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs DET	16.6	212	1	0	0
2025 wk 17	@ SF	23.0	330	18	0	0
2025 wk 16	vs GB	21.0	250	30	0	0
2025 wk 15	vs CLE	19.0	242	13	0	0
2025 wk 14	@ GB	14.9	186	15	0	0
2025 wk 13	@ PHI	9.5	154	13	0	0
2025 wk 12	vs PIT	21.7	239	21	0	0
2025 wk 11	@ MIN	10.3	193	26	0	0
2025 wk 10	vs NYG	25.1	220	63	0	0
2025 wk 9	@ CIN	38.7	280	53	22	2
2025 wk 8	@ BAL	11.8	285	24	0	0
2025 wk 7	vs NO	4.7	172	-2	0	0
2025 wk 6	@ WAS	19.9	252	-2	0	0
2025 wk 4	@ LV	11.8	212	13	0	0
2025 wk 3	vs DAL	29.1	298	12	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts