Sam HowellFITTED MODEL

QB · DAL · NFL

0.1

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

42%

Boom (1.5x)

58%

Bust (0.6x)

14.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

passing yards · completions · pass attempts · rushing yards · carries

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Pass Yds	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2024 wk 15	vs GB	-0.8	24	2	0	0
2023 wk 18	vs DAL	7.4	153	-1	4	1
2023 wk 17	vs SF	6.7	169	-1	0	0
2023 wk 16	@ NYJ	-1.8	56	0	0	0
2023 wk 15	@ LAR	8.3	102	22	0	0
2023 wk 13	vs MIA	19.2	127	21	0	0
2023 wk 12	@ DAL	17.3	300	13	0	0
2023 wk 11	vs NYG	17.7	256	35	0	0
2023 wk 10	@ SEA	24.2	312	17	0	0
2023 wk 9	@ NE	17.7	325	27	0	0
2023 wk 8	vs PHI	31.0	397	11	0	0
2023 wk 7	@ NYG	9.5	249	15	0	0
2023 wk 6	@ ATL	18.3	151	3	0	0
2023 wk 5	vs CHI	25.4	388	19	0	0
2023 wk 4	@ PHI	19.6	290	40	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts