Michael MayerFITTED MODEL

TE · LV · NFL

5.0

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

40%

Bust (0.6x)

5.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs KC	7.7	47	3
2025 wk 17	vs NYG	17.9	89	9
2025 wk 16	@ HOU	2.0	10	1
2025 wk 15	@ PHI	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 12	vs CLE	2.4	14	1
2025 wk 11	vs DAL	4.3	13	3
2025 wk 10	@ DEN	5.2	22	3
2025 wk 9	vs JAX	5.6	26	3
2025 wk 7	@ KC	2.0	10	1
2025 wk 6	vs TEN	16.0	50	5
2025 wk 3	@ WAS	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 2	vs LAC	2.9	9	2
2025 wk 1	@ NE	7.8	38	4
2024 wk 18	vs LAC	6.1	21	4
2024 wk 17	@ NO	2.4	14	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts