Adama BalFITTED MODEL

G · MEM · NBA

21.1

Projection

8.4

Floor (p10)

34.6

Ceiling (p90)

15%

Boom (1.5x)

22%

Bust (0.6x)

21.1

Avg (last 8)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2026-04-11	@ UTAH	31.5	18	2	4	3
2026-04-09	@ DEN	31.5	12	6	5	2
2026-04-07	vs CLE	32.5	20	6	0	6
2026-04-05	@ MIL	18.0	8	2	2	2
2026-04-04	vs TOR	4.5	2	2	1	0
2026-04-02	vs NY	18.0	11	2	2	3
2026-03-31	vs PHX	18.2	9	3	2	1
2026-03-29	vs CHI	14.5	3	2	3	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts