Tyler BurtonFITTED MODEL

F · MEM · NBA

17.9

Projection

5.7

Floor (p10)

30.8

Ceiling (p90)

18%

Boom (1.5x)

25%

Bust (0.6x)

17.9

Avg (last 12)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-10-12	vs ATL	2.5	0	2	0	0
2025-10-09	vs BOS	6.8	3	3	0	0
2026-04-02	vs NY	14.8	10	3	0	2
2026-03-31	vs PHX	26.0	17	4	1	3
2026-03-29	vs CHI	34.2	18	5	3	3
2026-03-28	vs HOU	11.5	5	2	1	1
2026-03-26	vs SA	16.5	6	2	1	2
2026-03-23	@ ATL	33.5	20	8	1	1
2026-03-21	@ CHA	17.5	10	4	1	2
2026-03-19	vs DEN	14.8	5	3	0	0
2026-03-17	@ CHI	23.0	8	8	1	1
2026-03-13	@ DET	13.2	4	5	1	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts