Ben SarafFITTED MODEL

G · BKN · NBA

16.3

Projection

4.5

Floor (p10)

29.4

Ceiling (p90)

19%

Boom (1.5x)

27%

Bust (0.6x)

13.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-06	vs NO	14.2	7	1	4	1
2025-12-05	vs UTAH	23.5	12	2	2	1
2025-12-04	@ CHI	14.0	6	0	2	1
2025-12-02	vs CHA	15.2	7	3	2	1
2025-11-30	@ MIL	22.0	10	0	7	2
2025-11-12	vs TOR	4.8	2	1	1	0
2025-11-04	vs MIN	6.2	5	1	0	1
2025-10-29	vs ATL	2.5	0	2	1	0
2025-10-28	@ HOU	16.8	6	1	5	2
2025-10-26	@ SA	10.8	0	1	5	0
2025-10-24	vs CLE	2.0	2	0	1	0
2025-10-22	@ CHA	22.8	8	7	4	0
2025-10-17	@ TOR	11.8	3	1	5	0
2025-10-12	@ PHX	26.0	4	4	11	0
2025-10-10	vs PHX	11.2	9	1	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts