Tolu SmithFITTED MODEL

F · DET · NBA

10.4

Projection

0.8

Floor (p10)

22.1

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

37%

Bust (0.6x)

10.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST
2025-11-13	vs CHI	19.8	6	7	2
2025-10-27	vs CLE	17.5	11	4	0
2025-10-16	vs WSH	5.5	0	2	1
2025-10-14	@ CLE	13.0	6	4	0
2025-10-10	@ MIL	12.0	5	4	1
2025-10-07	@ MEM	31.2	11	11	2
2026-05-18	vs CLE	8.0	4	2	0
2026-05-03	vs ORL	0.0	0	0	0
2026-04-12	@ IND	10.2	5	3	1
2026-04-08	vs MIL	0.0	0	0	0
2026-04-06	@ ORL	13.2	8	3	1
2026-03-31	@ OKC	18.8	4	7	3
2026-03-28	@ MIN	0.0	0	0	0
2026-03-26	vs NO	4.2	2	1	1
2026-03-20	vs GS	3.5	2	0	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts