Ethan ThompsonFITTED MODEL

G · IND · NBA

14.3

Projection

2.5

Floor (p10)

27.4

Ceiling (p90)

22%

Boom (1.5x)

30%

Bust (0.6x)

12.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-30	@ HOU	3.5	2	0	1	0
2025-12-28	@ MIA	2.2	0	3	0	0
2025-12-27	vs BOS	25.5	11	4	6	3
2025-12-24	vs MIL	18.8	3	5	1	1
2025-12-23	@ BOS	26.5	13	4	4	3
2025-12-21	@ NO	14.5	7	2	2	1
2025-12-19	vs NY	0.0	0	0	0	0
2025-12-14	vs WSH	5.0	2	0	2	0
2025-12-13	@ PHI	20.0	12	2	3	2
2025-12-09	vs SAC	17.2	6	5	0	2
2025-12-06	@ CHI	25.5	11	2	3	3
2025-12-04	vs DEN	0.0	0	0	0	0
2025-12-02	vs CLE	3.5	2	0	1	0
2025-10-18	vs MEM	4.5	3	0	1	1
2025-10-13	@ ATL	21.0	17	2	1	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts