Alex ReeseFITTED MODEL

F · PHI · NBA

11.6

Projection

2.0

Floor (p10)

23.3

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

35%

Bust (0.6x)

11.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2024-10-27	vs ATL	3.2	2	1	0	0
2024-10-16	@ DEN	8.0	0	2	1	0
2024-10-11	vs NZL	12.2	5	3	2	1
2024-10-10	vs HOU	3.2	2	1	0	0
2025-04-09	@ WSH	12.5	4	2	0	1
2025-04-07	@ MIA	6.0	3	2	0	1
2025-04-01	@ NY	17.5	10	4	1	2
2025-03-30	vs TOR	11.5	2	6	0	0
2025-03-23	@ ATL	15.8	8	3	1	1
2025-03-20	@ OKC	18.2	11	5	0	3
2025-03-18	@ HOU	8.2	6	1	0	2
2025-03-16	@ DAL	13.0	6	2	1	2
2025-03-14	vs IND	14.8	5	3	0	1
2025-03-12	@ TOR	11.2	2	3	0	0
2025-03-10	@ ATL	12.2	5	3	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts