Moritz WagnerFITTED MODEL

F · ORL · NBA

12.3

Projection

2.7

Floor (p10)

24.0

Ceiling (p90)

22%

Boom (1.5x)

34%

Bust (0.6x)

7.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2026-05-03	@ DET	7.5	5	2	0	1
2026-04-22	@ DET	1.2	0	1	0	0
2026-04-17	vs CHA	3.8	0	3	0	0
2026-04-08	vs MIN	10.5	4	4	1	0
2026-04-06	vs DET	6.8	2	1	1	0
2026-04-01	vs ATL	4.0	2	2	0	0
2026-03-31	vs PHX	8.2	4	1	1	0
2026-03-29	@ TOR	14.0	7	4	1	1
2026-03-26	vs SAC	1.2	0	1	0	0
2026-03-25	@ CLE	6.5	4	2	0	0
2026-03-19	@ CHA	7.8	5	1	1	0
2026-03-17	vs OKC	6.2	5	1	0	1
2026-03-16	@ ATL	16.5	7	6	1	1
2026-03-15	@ MIA	11.0	7	4	0	0
2026-03-12	vs WSH	13.8	7	5	0	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts