Daniel GaffordFITTED MODEL

F · DAL · NBA

23.4

Projection

10.0

Floor (p10)

37.6

Ceiling (p90)

14%

Boom (1.5x)

20%

Bust (0.6x)

20.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST
2025-12-30	@ POR	38.0	17	10	0
2025-12-27	@ SAC	24.2	11	7	1
2025-12-25	@ GS	11.2	6	5	0
2025-12-24	vs DEN	11.8	4	3	0
2025-12-23	@ NO	13.2	3	5	0
2025-12-21	@ PHI	14.5	2	4	0
2025-12-19	vs DET	21.5	9	6	1
2025-12-16	@ UTAH	11.0	2	2	2
2025-12-04	vs MIA	9.2	2	5	0
2025-11-29	@ LAL	11.0	5	4	0
2025-11-25	@ MIA	31.8	11	11	0
2025-11-23	vs MEM	24.0	5	8	4
2025-11-22	vs NO	27.8	8	7	3
2025-11-20	vs NY	21.5	7	8	2
2025-11-17	vs POR	38.5	20	6	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts