Garrison MathewsFITTED MODEL

G · IND · NBA

10.3

Projection

0.4

Floor (p10)

22.6

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

39%

Bust (0.6x)

10.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-24	vs MIL	11.5	6	2	0	2
2025-12-23	@ BOS	2.0	2	0	0	0
2025-12-21	@ NO	14.8	7	1	1	2
2025-12-19	vs NY	5.2	4	1	0	0
2025-12-14	vs WSH	15.2	8	1	2	2
2025-12-13	@ PHI	17.0	8	4	2	2
2025-12-09	vs SAC	12.8	7	1	1	2
2025-12-06	@ CHI	8.8	3	3	0	1
2025-12-04	vs DEN	11.0	9	0	1	1
2025-12-02	vs CLE	21.2	15	1	1	3
2025-11-30	vs CHI	1.5	0	0	1	0
2025-11-29	vs WSH	14.8	9	1	0	2
2025-11-25	vs DET	2.2	0	1	1	0
2025-11-22	@ CLE	1.2	0	1	0	0
2025-10-13	vs WSH	14.0	6	2	2	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts